Not so sure it's going to be a cake walk. Nothing is a cake walk in Northampton county for the GOP. Nyce starts out in a good position, but you better believe that the Democratic money will flow to Stoffa quickly. Nyce isn't a terrible guy, but the party needs to save face to prevent itself from looking too foolish.
quote: Originally posted by: LV Dem "Not so sure it's going to be a cake walk. Nothing is a cake walk in Northampton county for the GOP. Nyce starts out in a good position, but you better believe that the Democratic money will flow to Stoffa quickly. Nyce isn't a terrible guy, but the party needs to save face to prevent itself from looking too foolish."
Stoffa will be able to raise some money, but no where near the kind of out-of-county money that Reibman would have been able to.
You're absolutely right that he won't raise as much money as Reibman could, but he arguably doesn't need to. Reibman as a vulnerable incumbent both times he ran which means he had a raise a ton to win. The candidates that raise the most money are always vulnerable incumbents, not challengers for open seats. Stoffa only needs to raise enough money to execute his already proven direct mail campaign (Reibman wasn't so unpopular with his party that Stoffa won without effort... Stoffa used some of the GOP's direct mail strategy within the Democratic party and man was it a good tactic). Wasting money on broadcast media will be a waste and lord help either candidate if they try that approach. I'm inclinded to believe that Nyce, being a product of 1990's campaigning might be more inclined to waste his money on TV ads than Stoffa would.
Remember, he beat an incumbent. while that incumbent was as popular as a Red Sox fan at a Yankees game, knocking of an incumbent in the primary is impressive. The money will flow, especially since state leaders will recognize the importance of having a Dem as county executive come next year's senate/gov races.
