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Post Info TOPIC: Gotta Love Allegheny County Politics


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Gotta Love Allegheny County Politics



It looks like I may be the first person to post a message on the new message board, so let me set a positive tone with the following statements and observations and easy predictions:


1.  Diven or Fontana?  Who cares, at least we get to see the swim coach make a fool of himself by running unnoticed by the media!


2.  The Republican Committee is broke, canceled their 105th Lincoln Day Dinner (the first time that has ever happened), but can still pay their executive director over $44,000 a year.


3.  Habay will be a convicted felon but is still casting votes on the house floor.


4.  "Bobby O" will be our new mayor.


5.  Tom Flaherty almost got the Republican City Committee endorsement (as if it would have done anything)


6.  Leon Abramowitz is still in jail.


7.  Is Joe Waldholtz?


8.  The Pirates still suck.


9.  What ever happened to Judge McFalls?


10. Welcome back, I missed you all!


 



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1.  Diven or Fontana?  Who cares, at least we get to see the swim coach make a fool of himself by running unnoticed by the media!


Fontana seems to be getting momentum now, but I still think Diven will pull through.


2.  The Republican Committee is broke, canceled their 105th Lincoln Day Dinner (the first time that has ever happened), but can still pay their executive director over $44,000 a year.


Monica deserves to be paid a lot more than that, trust me.


3.  Habay will be a convicted felon but is still casting votes on the house floor.


Pathetic, isn't it?


4.  "Bobby O" will be our new mayor.


Weinroth would be a great mayor too, but the GOP is MIA.


5.  Tom Flaherty almost got the Republican City Committee endorsement (as if it would have done anything)


The fact that this guy will most likely end up as a judge is scary.


9.  What ever happened to Judge McFalls?


Good question!  I witnessed his arrest down on the Waterfront that night.



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The positive tone you tried to establish didn't last any longer than the end of its own breath.

Was on TV 11s / PCNC's Talkback show for 30-minute interview yesterday.

Think Again!

Our debate is set to air on Sunday at 7 pm. It was filmed a bit ago. I was the clear victor there by most observers.

The campaign is getting noticed. The other campaigns are noticed in negative ways.

The Elect.Rauterkus.com audio CD with music and message is out now. It was provided at a Pgh Public Schools event on parent engagement today. I was a speaker.

Good luck with the return of the forums here.

Mark Rauterkus
http://Elect.Rauterkus.com
Candidate for PA Senate (42nd district) in the special election on May 17, 2005.


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Mark,


My criticism and sarcasm may have been harsh, but I was being honest.  Rather than spew negativism, let me ask you some questions about you and the campaign.  Each of these questions are important to me, and I am asking them for a serious reason.  Maybe you can change my mind about your campaign.


 


What do you think the top three issues are in your district?


 


Let’s say the voter turnout is 48,000.  What portion of that vote do you see yourself getting, and why?


 


Do you trust the voters of the 42nd district will make an informed decision when electing their next Senator?


 


When the number one issue in the 42nd district is property taxes, why do you choose to deal with other items like corporate welfare, pool schedules, trash pick-up and so on?


 


Name what you see your number 1 accomplishment is that defines your term/terms as senator.


 


An old woman comes into your State Senate office and tells you that she can no longer afford her property taxes and unless she pays $2500 in back taxes by month’s end, her house will be sold at sheriff’s sale.  What would you do for her, or what would you tell her?


 


I hope to hear from you, and only ask these questions because it will help me make a better informed decision.


 


Thanks.



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Great questions. Just seeing them for the first time now.

But, sadly, I'm spent. Was up to 4 am last night and have now just hauled in boxes of the new propaganda. Wife is in Chicago -- and I've got to tuck in the kids, following a school party. Enough excuses.

I'll get to this within the next 24 hours. And, I'm thinking I'll post most content on my blog -- so I can include it in my CD archives too.

Thanks for asking. Stay tuned.

Mark R.

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My blog has the answers to the Qs posted to me earlier in this thread.

http://Rauterkus.blogspot.com

I understand it is bad form to transplant a thread from one venue to another -- but -- the situation more than justifies the shift.

In another week, I'd camp out here for the give and take.

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Q & As went here:


http://rauterkus.blogspot.com/2005/05/more-q-via-politicspa-web-board.html


By the way, there were NOT 48,000 voters in the special election, only 35,729.


I'm trying to figure out how many of those people who voted were REGISTERED voters of the D, R, or neither D nor R party.


Furthermore, as a way to reflect on the voter data of the election, what other races should be examined? Do you think it makes sense to compare (muni and/or ward) how NADER did in the 42nd in 2001 vs. what I did in 2005? Should we look at Diven vs. Bush in 2004?


Is there any "3rd party" or any "Lib" benchmark to toss darts at?


In my polling place, I got 23%.


In the city's 19th ward, the home of Diven, Fontana and Michael Lamb (on the ballot running for Mayor) the turnout seemed to be higher and I didn't do as well. But, I did equally as well in the burbs as I did in the city.



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Mark,


I didn't say turnout was going to be 48,000.  That number was a hypothetical.  Otherwise good answers to the questions I posed.  Furthermore, I think your turnout numbers were either a positive reflection on you or a negative reflection on your opponents.  7+% is never bad for a third party candidate. 4% or lower is the norm.  However, if you want to figure it out for yourself, I think you should compare the % of ind vote in the 2004 presidential election or 2002 gubernatorial race if you are merely looking for a gauge.


As far as figuring out who voted, you may want to see if the election department still prints out a "detailed analysis" of voter turnout.  It is much different from what they put on their website.  What they used to print out gave the numbers of voters per party by ward and district, and if I remember correctly, they only did it for the primary.  Give them a call and see if they have it down there.  They used to print it up on those old reams of connected computer paper.


As far as running numbers and comparing races, it really depends on what you want to find.  Special Elections are always hard to compare to other races.  If you wanted to see how you did in comparison to republican candidates who were hung out to dry, you could look at: http://www.county.allegheny.pa.us/elect/200211gen/SDistrict42.asp  Otherwise, you would have to mention what you were specifically looking for in you analysis, and I think I/we could figure out what race you could compare it with.


 



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Thanks.

I think I'll be able to get the voter CD -- database -- from the county election dept and figure out from that how many voted in each ward by PARTY affiliation. The info is there as there are "super voter" insights. Just a matter then of getting the numbers to line up and total as desired.

My hunch is that there were very, very few who voted who were NOT a "D" nor a "R." -- given the primary election date with the special election. ???

So, what would happen if there was a regular election in say 1+ years but held in the fall. Would the vote for a "L" go up from 7.2 percent to another 10-percent just based on the date of the election? -- That means 17 percent. ???

That's being positive -- I guess. ??

Thanks for pointing out the race results with Wagner's last victory in the Senate. I think that there are some valid points to compare there with the trends. The "R" there got a lot of votes -- even if hung out to dry -- compared to what either Diven and/or Fontana earned.

I don't think Fontana will ever do as well as Wagner did.



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